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A wide and open race – The Sun Nigeria

A wide and open race – The Sun Nigeria

Paul Omokuvie, Bauchi

The main elections of the political events have come and gone. Totally different political events have produced candidates that may fly their flags within the basic elections that start subsequent month, February 16. Expectedly, there’s nervousness, as campaigns have began in earnest with the clock ticking shut with every passing minute in the direction of the D-Day.

In Bauchi State, many political events have fielded candidates, some recognized, and others unknown.

Every day Sun takes a take a look at a number of the contestants within the governorship race within the state. The  main gladiators are incumbent governor Mohammed Abubakar of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), Senator Bala Mohammed of the Peoples Democratic Social gathering (PDP), Professor Ali Pate of the Peoples Redemption Social gathering (PRP) and Baheejah Mahmood  of the Motion Congress of Democrats (ACD).

Mohammed  Abdullahi Abubakar (APC)

Governor Mohammed Abubakar beat Captain Bala Jibril and former ministers Yakubu Lame and Professor Ali Pate to win the APC ticket in a controversial main that has been challenged and rejected by the opposite three contestants who described it as a charade. The nationwide management of the APC nevertheless appear to not share the emotions of the trio and has since confirmed MA Abubakar, as he’s fondly referred to as by his supporters, because the governorship candidate of the get together within the state. Though the Nationwide Working Committee (NWC) of the APC has arrange a Peace and Reconciliation Committee headed by the governor of Nasarawa State, Umar Tanko Almakura which met with aggrieved members, political analysts of the state of affairs within the state are left questioning how the transfer will appease the aggrieved and give victory to APC which gained the state in  a landslide towards the then ruling PDP. Allow us to now take a look at the power of the APC candidate, the incumbent governor who has since weathered the storm and appear to be in good stead to ship the social gathering.

Abubakar – His Ace
Every day Sun studies that Abubakar’s power is the facility of incumbency which governors in Nigeria take pleasure in immensely and deploy successfully to their benefit most occasions. Based mostly on this, Abubakar might benefit from the benefit of safety equipment and authorities privileges each on the federal and state ranges greater than different governorship contestants within the state. On synergy, the afore talked about should work along with the governor. Though MA Abu-Bakar’s authorities was met with challenges on the preliminary stage the place main stakeholders of the celebration, particularly the those that shaped the celebration perceived that they weren’t carried alongside by the governor, the primary citizen appears to have weathered the storm to clinch the ticket of his get together.  Recall, for instance that political heavyweights resembling  Dr Lame, Speaker Yakubu Dogara, late Senator Ali Wakili, Senator Nazif Gamawa, have been well-known people who claimed they weren’t carried alongside due to their irreconcilable variations with Governor Abubakar. Aside from incumbency issue, his appointment of top notch kingmakers in Misau and Katagum emirates earned  Abubakar extra respect, particularly among the many individuals of Katagum emirate who occupy the most important native authorities  within the state, aside from Bauchi Native Authorities Space. Choosing his deputy from Katagum axis additionally earned Abubakar large help from the world, to not speak of the unflinching help of influential politicians  like Alhaji Kaulaya Aliyu, a outstanding veteran politician from Katagum,  in addition to the help of Alhaji Yayaye Ahmed, former Secretary to the Authorities of the Federation, SGF. Abubakar achieved what quantities to a masterstroke when his predecessor, Isa Yuguda defected from the Inexperienced Celebration of Nigeria (GPN)  to the APC and  pledged complete help to him. This transfer will increase the governorship bid of  Abubakar as a result of Yuguda nonetheless enjoys giant followers hip within the state.  The incumbent governor may additionally rally the individuals of Bauchi State to see the significance of the street contracts awarded by his administration in Bauchi, Misau, Azare and different elements of the state, although most of the street tasks are nonetheless on -going. The governor has additionally awarded contracts for the rehabilitation of some main and secondary faculties within the state. These gestures and the help he used to render to muslim and christian communities throughout festivities may increase his possibilities forward of the election. Abubakar will depend on his loyalty to President Muhammadu Buhari, who has very giant followers within the state to win the competition, as a result of in all his campaigns, he strategically joinss his copies and footage with that of Buhari Help teams.

Drawbacks

Once more, the first election of APC within the state put the governor  on the defensive. Some might determine to not help him. The MA Abubakar political camp might have drawback with the result of the primaries.  As an example, some former die-hard supporters of Abubakar resembling Bappa Aliyu Misau are aggrieved that they misplaced within the primaries and a few of their supporters needed to come out publicly to say that they gained’t help him within the gubernatorial election.

In Toro, supporters of Dabo, who contested for Bauchi South senatorial district seat twice and misplaced are dissatisfied and aggrieved.

In Dass, Safiya Illiasu is properly liked by her individuals however her dream to characterize them on the Nationwide Meeting is turning into a mirage. Each Dabo and Sefiya contested the Bauchi South senatorial district primaries considering that they may get the help of Abubakar, however didn’t. The Dass individuals love Sefiya and individuals of Toro, which gave one of many largest variety of votes to Dabo. Each misplaced and their supporters really feel the governor didn’t help their aspirations and a few of their supporters may take their pound of flesh, and ought to they do, it’d scale back Abubakar’s possibilities. Whether or not the NWC Peace and Reconciliation committee can heal the injuries is but to be seen.

Once more, the feud with the most important stakeholders within the APC reminiscent of Speaker Yakubu Dogara who has defected together with his large help base to the PDP may have an effect on Abubakar’s second time period bid. The governor additionally has points with founding members of APC similar to Dr Yakubu  Lame. He additionally fell out with others like Captain Bala Jibril.,Ambassador Yusuf Miatama Tuggar, Sanu Shehu Sani Mallam, one time ANPP
chairman, Alhaji Musa Azare, Hon Harsanu Guyaba, Hon Shuaibu Rahama, Hon Aminu Tukkur, Hon Maryam Garba Bagel, to say just some. Many watchers of occasions consider this can be a weak spot which may rely towards the incumbent governor’s hope of retaining his seat. Already, the unresolved feud with Dogara, Senators Nazif Gamawa, Isa Hamma Misau had led to their defection to different events. Though their die-hard supporters and foot troopers are nonetheless in APC, they may probably work towards Abubakar within the common elections. Additionally, when Abubakar assumed obligation, he deposed a number of the newly created conventional chiefdoms within the state,  finished by his predecessor and the individuals and communities affected are nonetheless indignant with him, a sense which will rely towards him on the polls.  Although there’s stability in cost of salaries, the non cost of depart grant arrears, yearly increments and gratuity to pensioners presently pitch staff and pensioners and their households towards the governor.

There are uncertainties as as to if former Bauchi governor Isa Yuguda, who’s his childhood good friend, has left GPN to APC and might help him. If Yuguda decides to help Abubakar, will probably be an added benefit due to his giant help base within the state.

The incumbency issue, the loyalty of Bauchi governor to President Buhari and the president’s giant followership in Bauchi may swing votes for Abubakar through the election.

Senator Bala Mohammed (PDP)

PDP is likely one of the strongest events that has all of the buildings required to win elections in Bauchi State. Mohammed emerged its candidate in a clean main election that was devoid of the rancor and attendant complaints that trailed that of the APC within the state.  Mohammed contested towards Senator Abdul Ningi and Senator Adamu Gumba to emerge winner, with the losers instantly congratulating him and pledging to help the PDP to wrest energy from the APC.

His strengths

One good factor which will work for Mohammed is the truth that the PDP has buildings in all of the 20 native authorities areas in addition to within the grassroots (wards) within the state, which is a serious increase for the get together -to have power to win the election. Senator Mohammed, popularly often known as Kaura, comes from the royal household of Duguri in Alkaleri Native Authorities Space of the state. His background will give him an added benefit because the minority  ethnic teams reminiscent of Jarawa, Dugurawa, Seyawa, Boyawa, and all minority  ethnic teams within the state will queue as much as help him due to the cultural  affiliation and affinity that binds them. Secondly, as a prince and title holder of the Bauchi emirate, Senator Mohammed might possible get the help of all of the six emirates of the state for the truth that he can be considered their son that  is contesting. In all of the six emirates, Every day Sun learnt, Mohammed’s father had a great relationship with all of them.

Thirdly, as a former minister, Senator Mohammed,  regardless of that he’s from the identical zone as Abubakar (Bauchi South), the zone with the most important variety of  registered voters,  might doubtless get the help of all of the PDP stakeholders contemplating the best way PDP put its
home so as, as grievances amongst  aspirants have been both minimized or worn out. For instance, after the PDP governorship primaries, contestants akin to Senator Abdul Ningi instantly congratulated Mohammed. Observe that Speaker Dogara , Senator Nazif and Senator Misau as nicely Ahmed Yerima  (representing Misau federal constituency) contested their seats unopposed. This stability within the opposition get together is an
added benefit to the PDP governorship candidate. A beneficiant politician, the best way Mohammed carried individuals of Bauchi State alongside when he was FCT minister and his unflinching and timeless help to PDP after Yuguda left the celebration, is one thing that the social gathering trustworthy will always remember and might be ever prepared to reciprocate.

Weakneses

Mohammed has some EFCC (Financial and Monetary Crimes Fee instances in his identify in courtroom which can doubtless work towards his possibilities on the polls, whilst he has denied all the fees leveled towards him. Secondly, Mohammed might have challenges preventing the federal government in energy.

Because the battle will get harder, he might lose a few of his supporters to the ruling social gathering, as a result of he’s deprived within the battle.  Mohammed, although from Bauchi south, should do lots to win the hearts of the individuals of Bauchi central and Bauchi north districts,the place the governor has tactically “captured.”  For example, Abubakar has higher hand in Bauchi north as a result of stakeholders like Kaulahaya Aliyu, Yayale are backing him. Apart from, Abubakar has political appointees which might be within the subject to work for his success. Although Mohammed too has notable politicians from the north like Aminu Yapeko, and Bala Admu Kariya  from Bauchi Central, he nonetheless must do extra to go right down to the citizens in these districts as a result of they’re extra.

With the present PDP buildings, if Mohammed is ready to attain the registered voters within the grassroots, and if they comply with come out on election day to vote for him, he might win the election.

Professor Ali Pate (PRP)

After dropping out to Abubakar in what he described as akin to “war” APC primaries, Pate has reportedly pitched his camp with Individuals’s Redemption Get together (PRP), because the governorship candidate. The most educated among the many contestants, Pate has the expertise as a former minister and as a technocrat who served on a worldwide stage. Amongst all of the gladiators, Pate is the person presumed by residents to be speaking about the actual points bedeviling the state.

Weaknesses

Regardless of Pate’s expertise, he’s nonetheless thought-about by many as a novice in politics. He must have a superb marketing campaign construction that he might be sustaining over and by means of the years like different political actors do. Initially he was a member of PDP when he served as a minister underneath President Goodluck Jonathan, however defected to APC after he misplaced  PDP governorship main election to Aulwa Jatau in 2015 . Once more, he contested in APC in 2018 however once more misplaced to Abubakar within the primaries, a improvement which angered him to hunt ticket on the platform of PRP . Regardless that PRP is an previous political social gathering, with the slogan of being a celebration for the plenty due to the late Mallam Aminu Kano, the founding father of the social gathering, it has few followers in Bauchi State. This can be a drawback to Pate. Besides if nearly all of voters are in search of a candidate with benefit, regardless of get together, they could doubtless contemplate voting for Pate. However Pate must do loads of arduous work by promoting PRP to the grassroots within the state, a process that might be herculean.

Pate might win if the citizens will take heed to his campaigns, manifestoe and plans for the state. They could see him as one of the best among the many candidates and vote for him if he is ready to persuade them.

Baheejah Mahmood (ACD)

She is the one lady contesting for the seat of governor of Bauchi State. Mahmood’s get together, Motion Congress of Democrats (ACD) is a celebration created by late governor of Katsina State, Lawal Kaita once they tried to cease Obasanjo from his third time period bid. The get together’s motto is goodbye to poverty, which is the main problem of individuals in Nigeria at the moment. Mahmood is a well known philanthropist who renders help to ladies and the much less privileged within the society. She served beneath Isa Yuguda because the Director-Common of the Bauchi State Orphans and Weak Youngsters Company. Throughout her tenure, she tried to determine centres throughout the 20 native authorities areas, although it wasn’t actualized, as some
weren’t accomplished. She did fairly properly by bringing hope to the much less privileged within the society when she satisfied the then state authorities to create an company for the poor by eradicating 1 per cent from every state employee’s wage to fund the company to help the poor.  Mahmood will depend on the help of girls teams within the state to win the governorship election and she feels it’s time for orphans and weak youngsters who recognize her efforts to see her as somebody who will deliver the specified change that males did not deliver.

Weaknesses

She is the one lady amongst male contestants and this may work towards her because the politics within the nation basically and the state particularly is male dominated and skewed to favour male politicians.
Secondly, Mahmood’s celebration, ACD is a brand new celebration in Bauchi State and it has no power of profitable elections as a result of it has no widespread buildings throughout the state. This may rely towards her.

If ladies who’re nearly all of voters with Everlasting Voters Playing cards (PVCs) will come out to point out solidarity for considered one of their very own and vote for her, she would be the candidate to beat.